ISELLE has weakened a bit to a Category 2 hurricane, Invest97-L has strengthened and is now a tropical depression (TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E)
08.03.14 (9:00am): Iselle, Invest97-L and how it will affect us
Hurricane Iselle has become a major hurricane with maximum sustained winds near 115 mph – that’s a Category 3 hurricane. The storm is a little less than 1500 miles east of the Hawaiian Islands moving west at about 10 mph with hurricane force winds extending 30 miles from the center, tropical force storm winds extend up to 105 miles from the center.
Taking a look at the cone of uncertainty no significant change in strength is expected today, and weakening is forecast for Monday however, this storm has already proven the models wrong a few times by pushing through the expected intensity forecast on several model runs in the past. The National Hurricane Center maintains Iselle’s intensity through 12 hours and then only gradually weakens it through 48 hours, but because of the hurricane’s history, we can’t really rule out some additional strengthening in the short term. The National Hurricane Center places the center of Iselle 70 miles ESE of Hilo Thursday evening as a weakening tropical storm.
So how will it affect our island weather? Well in the meantime we expect a stable trade wind weather pattern. Starting Thursday there’s potential muggy, wet and windy conditions that could last through next weekend. We’ll watch Iselle closely because even if the storm dissipates, the potential for heavy rains is very real and if the storm is stronger than that we’ll have to deal with strong winds too. The forecast will become clearer as the storm continues to approach.
As if that weren’t enough, another tropical system could possibly affect the islands starting next Saturday. Invest 97-L following it almost on the same time… possibly could get even stronger than Iselle. I’ll keep an eye on it and bring you the latest. Be prepared and stay safe everyone.